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    Canada to Reshape International Students and Workers Immigration Routes Before 2026

    Canada is preparing for a big change in how international students and temporary foreign workers enter, stay, and settle in the country. With new policies linked to the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, along with strategic commitments outlined in Budget 2025, the federal government has been charting a new direction that closely aligns temporary immigration with long-term economic and labour priorities.
    The reforms announced show a turn toward a more selective, sector-focused, and capacity-driven immigration system.

    1. Canada Plans a More Direct Route to Permanent Residency for Workers

    A New Transition Strategy for Skilled Workers

    Canada plans to provide a faster route to permanent residency for thousands of temporary workers beginning in 2026. As many as 33,000 such workers could benefit from the fast-track program over two years, although the full framework has not been published by IRCC. What is known is that the initiative will emphasise:

    This shift mirrors recent trends: most Express Entry invitations now go to applicants who have already built Canadian work experience, signalling the government’s continued preference for candidates who have demonstrated their ability to integrate.

    Sharp Decline in Temporary Resident Admissions

    In a major policy shift, the federal government has announced plans to substantially reduce the number of temporary resident admissions beginning in 2026:

    Category 2025 Target 2026 Target Change
    Total Temporary Residents 673,650 385,000 ↓ 43%
    International Students 305,900 155,000 ↓ 49%
    Temporary Foreign Workers 367,750 230,000 ↓ 37%
    While these figures represent a significant numerical reduction, officials indicate that the adjustment aims to bring goals in line with realistic processing capacity rather than actually slashing immigration. In fact, statistics for the first eight months of 2025 already indicate that actual admissions have lagged behind planned numbers, reaching just 42% for temporary foreign workers and 29% for students thus far.

    2. Tighter Controls Expected in the Temporary Foreign Worker Program

    Fewer LMIA-Based Entries Starting 2026

    Prime Minister Mark Carney’s comments near the end of 2025 suggested a new direction for the Temporary Foreign Worker Program: one focused on only the most vital sectors and areas. The new Immigration Levels Plan reduces the planned TFWP admissions from 82,000 to 60,000, indicating tighter selection standards and perhaps more limited LMIA approvals.
    This comes after last year’s move to block LMIA processing in regions dealing with unemployment rates above 6%, signaling a government intent on reducing reliance on temporary labour in areas that already face workforce instability.

    3. New Sector-Specific Pathways in Support of Key Industries

    Canada is preparing a series of occupation-specific programs targeting jobs with recognized chronic shortages:

    Technical and Research Experts

    This alone represents a planned reduction of 90,000 admissions. The government has signalled its intention to bring PR levels down to below 1% of the population by 2027, part of a broader strategy to stabilise population growth.

    Construction workers

    In March 2025, the government announced a plan to allocate as many as 6,000 PR spots for undocumented construction workers already in Canada, in a bid to stabilize the industry’s labour supply.

    Agriculture and Seafood Processing

    A new stream is being developed for agricultural and fish processing activities. It will include a specific work permit matching the seasonal and long-term needs of the sector.

    Reopening Existing Pilots

    The Home Care Worker pilot programs are expected to begin accepting new applications in 2026, continuing to support families and seniors across the country. Across all these pathways, workers with Canadian experience continue to be prime candidates, since the government is increasingly valuing in-country labour contributions.

    4. Big Changes Coming for International Students

    Study Permit Caps Likely to Drop in 2026

    A new annual cap will be put in place for applications for study permits by the federal government starting in January 2026. Since the most recent Immigration Levels Plan cut projections for upcoming student intake from 305,900 to 155,000, the number of applications the government will process is also expected to shrink.

    Although this suggests that competition for permits is tightening, Canada’s failure to meet the admissions target set for 2025 should have an offsetting effect, particularly for applicants from high-demand regions.

    Post-Graduation Work Permit Eligibility Set to Change

    IRCC has delayed its plans to drop 178 programs from PGWP eligibility until early 2026. When the change is implemented, only students in eligible programs will be able to receive work permits after graduation. This further reiterates the need to establish whether a program is eligible before applying to any institution in Canada.

    A Recalibration, Not a Retraction

    While the drastic reduction of temporary resident admissions has divided opinion, many experts have labeled it more of a “recalibration” than a reduction. Canada remains committed to maintaining an immigration system that is in balance with economic realities, housing availability, and labor market needs.

    Full details of the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan will be made available in the Annual Report to Parliament on Immigration, due later this month.

    Key Questions for the Upcoming Plan

    The commitment suggests yes, but actual numbers will reveal how strictly it is enforced.

    With pressure to bring the share below 5% of the population, will student and worker permit caps tighten further?

    Provinces may argue for greater allocations reflecting regional labor and demographic needs.

    In particular, under Express Entry or provincial nomination, emphasizing skills, region, and language.

    Housing, healthcare, and labor market absorption remain critical constraints. Reports flagged risks of population decline and housing gaps under previous levels.

    1. Percentage Reduction of Temporary Resident Population

    Surplusing is one of the government’s key objectives, and it is focused on reducing the share of temporary residents among the population of Canada currently. Temporary residents currently make up roughly 7% of the population, and the strategy aims to bring it down to 5% by the end of 2026.
    This step is a sign of growing concern over the impact of short-term residents on rental vacancy shortfalls, utilization of the health system, and provincial demands for infrastructure. By providing a particular numerical limitation, Canada hopes to better manage growth while providing those who immigrate with doors opening to permanent residency or other sustainable options, rather than remaining indefinitely within short-term limbo.

    What These Reforms Represent

    The forthcoming changes indicate Canada’s shift toward becoming an increasingly intentional and highly regulated immigration system, where population growth balances infrastructure capacity, labour demand, and economic performance.

    Temporary workers will receive more focused PR options, while international students will have a more regulated entry system, but with enhanced pathways at the graduate level. As Canada heads towards 2026, interested applicants, be they students or workers, must be well-informed and adapt early to ensure their plans meet the evolving system.

    Looking Ahead

    When the 2026-2028 Plan is released, the numbers themselves will matter less than the underlying signals: which streams are growing, which are shrinking, and how the government is prioritizing settlement, region, and skills.
    Canada appears to be shifting from high-volume immigration towards a more calibrated, strategic intake – one that balances labor market needs, infrastructure capacity, and community integration. For anyone watching Canada’s immigration policy, the next Plan will offer a window into how the country intends to shape its demographic and economic future.
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