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    Over 11% of Express Entry Candidates Now Score Above 500

    There has been a remarkable change in the composition of Canada’s Express Entry system. As of November 9, 2025, the data released indicated that more than 11% of the total number of profiles in the pool had a CRS score exceeding 500 points.
    Though the total number of candidates has slightly declined in recent weeks, the system is clearly becoming more competitive, with a significant uptick in high-ranking applicants and Provincial Nominee Program profiles.

    Express Entry Pool Sees a Shrink in Numbers but a Rise in High Scorers

    Between October 26 and November 9, 2025, the number of profiles in the Express Entry pool has decreased by 2,547. The largest drops were seen for candidates in the 411–430 CRS range, which suggests that several profiles in these brackets were either issued ITAs or expired.

    While the pool size shrank, the number of high-scoring candidates increased sharply. Profiles in the 601–1,200 CRS range, consisting mainly of PNP nominees, more than doubled from 306 to 696. Additionally, the 501–600 range increased by 417 candidates, a confirmation that more applicants now fall into the top-scoring categories.

    Distribution of CRS Scores in the Express Entry Pool (as of November 9, 2025)

    The distribution of CRS scores across the Express Entry pool, and how it has changed since October 26, 2025, is shown in the table below.
    CRS score range Number of candidates Change in number of profiles
    0–300 8,018 −9
    301–350 19,104 −306
    351–400 52,360 −108
    401–410 14,049 +180
    411–420 13,714 −1,106
    421–430 12,876 −2,122
    431–440 14,320 −456
    441–450 13,980 −109
    451–460 14,752 −89
    461–470 15,830 +38
    471–480 15,042 +315
    481–490 12,315 +223
    491–500 12,236 +185
    501–600 26,414 +417
    601–1,200 696 +390
    Total 245,706 −2,547

    Most of the CRS bands below 460 had decreases, with some small increases only in the middle range categories, such as 401–410. The 411–430 range saw the largest drop of 3,228 candidates.

    At the same time, the largest increases were seen in the 501–600 point CRS range, at +417, and among PNP nominees in the 601–1,200 range, at +390 — a function of the increasing number of strong, province-nominated candidates in the pool.

    CRS Distribution Percentiles: Where Does Your Score Stand?

    The table shows the distribution of candidate scores in their respective percentile ranges, indicating how each CRS range compares in competitiveness within the total pool of 245,706 candidates.
    CRS score range Number of candidates Percentage Percentile range
    0–300 8,018 3.26% 0.00% - 3.26%
    301–350 19,104 7.78% 3.26% - 11.04%
    351–400 52,360 21.31% 11.04% - 32.35%
    401–410 14,049 5.72% 32.35% - 38.07%
    411–420 13,714 5.58% 38.07% - 43.65%
    421–430 12,876 5.24% 43.65% - 48.89%
    431–440 14,320 5.83% 48.89% - 54.72%
    441–450 13,980 5.69% 54.72% - 60.41%
    451–460 14,752 6.00% 60.41% - 66.41%
    461–470 15,830 6.44% 66.41% - 72.85%
    471–480 15,042 6.12% 72.85% - 78.97%
    481–490 12,315 5.01% 78.97% - 83.99%
    491–500 12,236 4.98% 83.99% - 88.97%
    501–600 26,414 10.75% 88.97% - 99.72%
    601–1,200 696 0.28% 99.72% - 100.00%

    These percentile ranks represent how individual CRS scores rank against the pool. For instance, a candidate with a CRS score in the range of 501–600 is already within the top 11% of all applicants, while those above 600 fall into the top 0.3% and are largely PNP nominees.

    Recent IRCC Draws: Strong Month for Category-Based Invitations

    Over the last month, from October 11 to November 11, 2025, IRCC has issued 10,861 ITAs from six individual draws. These invitations were issued in general and category-based rounds targeting provincial nominees, health professionals, French-speaking applicants, and candidates with previous Canadian work experience under the CEC.

    But the most notable pace for this period was the French-language proficiency draw on October 29, which alone issued 6,000 ITAs, making it the largest for the month.
    Draw date Draw type ITAs issued CRS cut-off score
    October 14, 2025 Provincial Nominee Program 345 778
    October 15, 2025 Healthcare and social services 2,500 472
    October 27, 2025 Provincial Nominee Program 302 761
    October 28, 2025 Canadian Experience Class 1,000 533
    October 29, 2025 French-language proficiency 6,000 416
    November 10, 2025 Provincial Nominee Program 714 738
    In this 30-day span, IRCC issued 1,092 more invitations compared to the previous month, September 11–October 11, reflecting an active and inclusive immigration strategy.

    Comparison Between the Previous Months’ Activities

    Draw date Draw type ITAs issued CRS cut-off score
    September 15, 2025 Provincial Nominee Program 228 746
    September 17, 2025 Education 2,500 462
    September 18, 2025 Trades 1,250 505
    September 29, 2025 Provincial Nominee Program 291 855
    October 1, 2025 Canadian Experience Class 1,000 534
    October 6, 2025 French-language proficiency 4,500 432
    The previous month also saw IRCC conduct six draws but issue a total of 9,769 ITAs, which is fewer than in the following month. This indicates that the government is still committed to welcoming skilled immigrants across key categories.

    What This Means for Express Entry Candidates

    The most recent data highlights a trend: the competition in the Express Entry system is becoming increasingly competitive.

    More candidates have scores over 500 due to stronger profiles, work experience, improved language scores, and a rise in provincial nominations. Those looking to enhance their chances may consider the following:

    Staying competitive among high-scoring candidates requires that one be strategic, prepared, and act well in time.

    3. Closure or Suspension of Provincial Pathways

    Reduced nomination room has pushed provinces to restructure their PNPs. Among the most notable changes:

    In some provinces, new Expression of Interest submissions have also been paused due to space limitations.

    A Recalibration, Not a Retraction

    While the drastic reduction of temporary resident admissions has divided opinion, many experts have labeled it more of a “recalibration” than a reduction. Canada remains committed to maintaining an immigration system that is in balance with economic realities, housing availability, and labor market needs.

    Full details of the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan will be made available in the Annual Report to Parliament on Immigration, due later this month.

    Key Questions for the Upcoming Plan

    The commitment suggests yes, but actual numbers will reveal how strictly it is enforced.

    With pressure to bring the share below 5% of the population, will student and worker permit caps tighten further?

    Provinces may argue for greater allocations reflecting regional labor and demographic needs.

    In particular, under Express Entry or provincial nomination, emphasizing skills, region, and language.

    Housing, healthcare, and labor market absorption remain critical constraints. Reports flagged risks of population decline and housing gaps under previous levels.

    1. Percentage Reduction of Temporary Resident Population

    Surplusing is one of the government’s key objectives, and it is focused on reducing the share of temporary residents among the population of Canada currently. Temporary residents currently make up roughly 7% of the population, and the strategy aims to bring it down to 5% by the end of 2026.
    This step is a sign of growing concern over the impact of short-term residents on rental vacancy shortfalls, utilization of the health system, and provincial demands for infrastructure. By providing a particular numerical limitation, Canada hopes to better manage growth while providing those who immigrate with doors opening to permanent residency or other sustainable options, rather than remaining indefinitely within short-term limbo.

    Summary

    In a fortnight, the Express Entry pool shrank but got dramatically more competitive. While the lowest CRS brackets are thinning out, the share of top-tier candidates, particularly those scoring above 500 points, keeps growing. With IRCC continuing its pace of draws and emphasizing key professional categories, candidates will need to be more proactive in improving their profiles to secure that invitation to apply for Canadian permanent residence.

    Looking Ahead

    When the 2026-2028 Plan is released, the numbers themselves will matter less than the underlying signals: which streams are growing, which are shrinking, and how the government is prioritizing settlement, region, and skills.
    Canada appears to be shifting from high-volume immigration towards a more calibrated, strategic intake – one that balances labor market needs, infrastructure capacity, and community integration. For anyone watching Canada’s immigration policy, the next Plan will offer a window into how the country intends to shape its demographic and economic future.
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