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    Nova Scotia Introduces New EOI-Based Selection System for Immigration Applicants

    Nova Scotia has unveiled a major restructuring of how it evaluates prospective immigrants, marking one of its most significant policy shifts in recent years. The province confirmed that, effective November 28, all submissions to its immigration programs, including those previously filed, will now be assessed under a new Expression of Interest (EOI)–based model.

    The change affects both the Nova Scotia Provincial Nominee Program (NSPNP) and the Atlantic Immigration Program (AIP), altering the pathway for skilled workers, employers, and candidates already waiting in the intake queue.

    A New Direction: All Applications Now Treated as EOIs

    According to the province’s announcement, every submission, regardless of when it was filed, has been transitioned into the new EOI structure. This means that a case ID or a completed application no longer guarantees review or processing.

    Under the revamped system, full applications will act as initial expressions of interest, similar to the pool-based method used in Canada’s Express Entry system. Instead of evaluating each application in the order received, Nova Scotia will select candidates from a central pool based on evolving provincial needs. This approach allows the province to be more selective as demand continues to exceed its annual nomination capacity.

    Sharp Decline in Temporary Resident Admissions

    In a major policy shift, the federal government has announced plans to substantially reduce the number of temporary resident admissions beginning in 2026:

    Category 2025 Target 2026 Target Change
    Total Temporary Residents 673,650 385,000 ↓ 43%
    International Students 305,900 155,000 ↓ 49%
    Temporary Foreign Workers 367,750 230,000 ↓ 37%
    While these figures represent a significant numerical reduction, officials indicate that the adjustment aims to bring goals in line with realistic processing capacity rather than actually slashing immigration. In fact, statistics for the first eight months of 2025 already indicate that actual admissions have lagged behind planned numbers, reaching just 42% for temporary foreign workers and 29% for students thus far.

    What the EOI System Means for Applicants and Employers

    Under the new framework:

    Those selected will receive a notification directly from the province confirming that their file is moving forward. Remaining EOIs will stay in the pool for future rounds, with no additional action required from applicants who have not yet been contacted.

    Key Sectors Likely to Be Prioritised

    Nova Scotia signalled that its selection decisions will be guided by current and emerging economic pressures. Sectors the province expects to prioritise include:

    These areas may shift over time as labour gaps change.

    Why the Shift Happened Now

    The province acknowledged that interest in immigrating to Nova Scotia far exceeds the number of applications it can approve each year. With nomination allocations from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) tightening in 2024 and 2025, Nova Scotia, like several other provinces, has turned to an EOI model to manage high demand.
    The EOI approach gives the province greater control, enabling officials to prioritise candidates who best match Nova Scotia’s economic and demographic objectives.

    What Applicants Can Expect in 2025 and 2026

    Nova Scotia is operating with constrained nomination volumes for 2025, despite a positive jump in allocation:
    However, the federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026 is expected to significantly expand the total number of provincial nominee spaces across Canada. These increased national targets may translate into broader opportunities for NSPNP candidates in the coming year.

    Key Questions for the Upcoming Plan

    The commitment suggests yes, but actual numbers will reveal how strictly it is enforced.

    With pressure to bring the share below 5% of the population, will student and worker permit caps tighten further?

    Provinces may argue for greater allocations reflecting regional labor and demographic needs.

    In particular, under Express Entry or provincial nomination, emphasizing skills, region, and language.

    Housing, healthcare, and labor market absorption remain critical constraints. Reports flagged risks of population decline and housing gaps under previous levels.

    1. Percentage Reduction of Temporary Resident Population

    Surplusing is one of the government’s key objectives, and it is focused on reducing the share of temporary residents among the population of Canada currently. Temporary residents currently make up roughly 7% of the population, and the strategy aims to bring it down to 5% by the end of 2026.
    This step is a sign of growing concern over the impact of short-term residents on rental vacancy shortfalls, utilization of the health system, and provincial demands for infrastructure. By providing a particular numerical limitation, Canada hopes to better manage growth while providing those who immigrate with doors opening to permanent residency or other sustainable options, rather than remaining indefinitely within short-term limbo.

    Conclusion

    Nova Scotia’s adoption of an EOI-driven selection system signals a more strategic and competitive approach to provincial immigration. For skilled workers and employers, the new model emphasises alignment with immediate economic needs rather than the timing of submission. While the transition may create uncertainty for some candidates, expanded federal targets in 2026 could bring meaningful relief and greater access to provincial nomination opportunities.

    Looking Ahead

    When the 2026-2028 Plan is released, the numbers themselves will matter less than the underlying signals: which streams are growing, which are shrinking, and how the government is prioritizing settlement, region, and skills.
    Canada appears to be shifting from high-volume immigration towards a more calibrated, strategic intake – one that balances labor market needs, infrastructure capacity, and community integration. For anyone watching Canada’s immigration policy, the next Plan will offer a window into how the country intends to shape its demographic and economic future.
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